Trends

The death of the hard drive has been greatly exaggerated

twain3SSD is all the rage in the storage industry.  Very exciting technology for sure and just now going Prime Time in the enterprise. But the rise of SSDs does not correlate with a fall for hard drives.  

In fact, it looks like hard drives have quite a bit of life left in them. 

A new study by Dr. Mark Kryder and Chang Soo Kim at Carnegie Mellon on the state of storage technology in 2020 yields some surprising findings:

  • A 2.5″ disk drive will likely store 14 TB for about $40
  • Hard drives look to remain considerably less expensive than any competing technology
  • Flash memory will be the next best technology, but will be battling technology limits at about that time
  • Two other technologies to watch: phase change random access memory (PCRAM) and spin transfer torque random access memory (STTRAM)

The question to ask is not “Which technologies will replace hard drives?”, but “Which technologies will complement hard drives?”

What are your thoughts?  Agree or disagree?

Sustainability requires getting beyond “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell”

green-globeA recent BusinessWeek article shows how Steve Jobs is driving a new level of environmental sensitivity at Apple.  It’s happening at all of the major technology brands these days.  This is good for us all.

That said, it’s not easy.  Changing the material makeup of consumer electronics and other devices has a cascading effect on the supply chain.  It often causes severe disruption for suppliers.  It can take a long time for them to get “in line”.

Seagate has taken a unique approach both up and down its supply chain to reduce the quantity of toxic substances within its products.  The approach has made a huge difference in Seagate’s ability to respond to these important and inevitable changes.

“Tell us everything”

Rather than asking suppliers “How much of (blank) substance is in your component?”, Seagate says, “Tell us everything that is in your component.”

The difference is dramatic.  Seagate knows what substances make up 96% of their disk drives. Other companies using the traditional “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” model know only about the substances currently being restricted – less than 1% of a disk drive by weight.

That’s important when a customer ratchets up their “green” game and asks its suppliers to tell them how much of a previously unrestricted substance is in their products.  Seagate is able to quickly comply, and provide credible data as proof.

Seagate is proud to be a supplier for Apple, and to be leading the industry in manufacturing truly green hard drives.  When Apple decided to restrict all forms of Bromine and Fluorine Chlorine, Seagate was able to say “We’ll do it”, and promptly back it up with data.

Steve Jobs said it well:

“All of this stuff is only important for the world if you actually do it.”

Image source: enduradecor.com

A video in your hand = several videos in a server

mobiletv003This report from Knowledge Networks shows that 2/3rds of 18-35 year-0lds in the U.S. carry a video-enabled mobile device.  23% of them carry an Apple video iPod, up from just 5% in 2006.

All of these video-enabled content consumers aren’t watching videos today.  But their devices are ready for the inevitable shift in behavior that will drive more and more video snacking.

Video is the killer app of information over the next decade.  Broad adoption plus higher and higher resolution will create an avalanche of content that will require one heck of a lot of storage devices to make them available.

Where will it all sit? Mobile devices will use mostly flash.  PCs will use mostly disk, with a wee bit of SSD. And data centers that store, manage and serve up all of this content will be mostly disk.

The first two categories are the visible ‘tip of the iceberg’ in data.  Massive quantities of storage comprise the rest, quietly accumulating in datacenters to make it all possible.  And every video that’s served up on a cell phone requires several copies on servers in multiple locations.

That’s why enterprise drives of the “terabyte” variety like the Seagate Constellation family are getting more and more popular.  Even the highest performance drives like the Seagate Cheetah and Savvio drives are approaching theterabyte threshold.

Expect to see continuing, relentless growth in storage demand driven by the video consumption phenomenon.

Everything you wanted to know about USB 3.0, and then some

usb-3-0-superspeed1Ars Technica has documented the path that USB 3.0 has taken en route to becoming the next great consumer storage interface. 

You’ll laugh, you’ll cry, you’ll be glued to the page!

Maybe not.  But USB 3.0 is coming soon. Bone up now so you’re ready.

Storage fights back

boxer20pose201Buried in the details of Seagate’s Q4 earnings report released yesterday are three very interesting facts:

  • 132 million units shipped industry-wide during the quarter, essentially flat from the year-ago quarter
  • Over the last year, average GB shipped rose 45%
  • 55 mobile computing drives shipped, up 23% year-over-year

Disk drive demand imploded six months ago, with many seeing multiple years of flat demand ahead.  Instead, last quarter’s numbers show that demand at least for now is already back to where it was at this time last year. 

Not only that, but capacity shipped actually increased – by close to 50%. 

What happened?  The economy slowed down, but data growth didn’t. Storing that data remains important to businesses and consumers.

Photo source: protectiveboxinggloves.com

Streaming from my tent

wall-e2Every year my family camps out next to the lake one night in July.  Actually it’s not real camping, because we’re on my father-in-law’s lawn, and we watch a DVD (traditionally The Incredibles) on my PC.

This year we discovered that my DVD player didn’t work.  After a collective “oh no!”, we figured out that we could stream the movie WALL-E from Netflix.  Five minutes later we were enjoying our show under the stars.

This was the most tangible sign I’ve yet seen of the world’s move to the Cloud. I’m not an early adopter (not late either); yet there we were, taking what we wanted from the Ether, incrementally “free”.   

The Cloud is only going to get easier, cheaper and more mainstream from here.  It’s going to expand to include more and more forms of business content. 

I’m not going to throw out my DVDs.  And I still physically back up my precious digital stuff.  Likewise, businesses aren’t free of storage.  But how they use that storage will change. And fast.

Are you ready? Is your business?

Photo source: nuvera.com

The painful path to SSD adoption in netbooks

netbookBirth is painful. 

This universal truth is proving to be true for the nascent SSD netbook market.

Flash manufacturers have been struggling with losses due to depressed prices for a while now.

Prices are up!  Good news, right?  Not really, as Ars Technica reports. Netbooks are incredibly price sensitive.  At the same time, disk drives remain a popular storage option as netbooks experience feature creep.

Someday this may be a market that brings lots of joy and profits to those involved.  But it will take some strenuous effort and time up front to come to fruition.

Photo source: newverhost.com

Disney netbooks? Of course!

disney_netpal_magic_blueDisney and ASUS are introducing a Disney-branded netbook for the 6-12 year old demographic.  It makes perfect sense:

  • Netbooks are (or can be) priced as a generous but affordable kid-cessory. 
  • There’s plenty of room for all those Pixar movies on the 160GB drive inside – but not on the optional 16 GB SSD version.

This is part of the business-oriented flip-side to the One Laptop Per Child project. 

Unlike the benevolent non-profit OLPC project targeting developing countries, this one’s pretty much about making money.  In affluent markets, the computing trend is moving from a household PC to truly personal computers – one for every member of the family.  Disney and ASUS are taking the next logical step: get the kids started earlier with their own PCs. 

Move over Apple, here comes Disney!

Add to that the convergence of TV and PCs for watching video and you get an intriguing new player in content delivery.  It will be interesting to see how Disney’s supreme marketing machine leverages this new delivery system for their considerable content library.

What do you think Disney will do with this opportunity?  Comments appreciated.

Photo source: gizmodo.com

Enter the zettabyte

Image source: Cisco

Image source: Cisco

Some say we’re now in the Terabyte Era, due to the size of today’s largest disk drives - two terabytes. 

Others say we’re in the Petabyte Era (1,000x larger than a terabyte), since that’s about how much many companies now have stored in their datacenters. 

Listening to IDC and EMC, one might think we’re in the Exabyte Era (1,000x larger than a petabyte).  They calculate the sum of all digital data on the planet to be in the hundreds of exabytes.

Cisco seems to think that it’s the Zettabyte Era (1,000x larger than an exabyte), based on the volume of worldwide IP traffic by 2013 – over half of which will be video.

To each his own. Any way you slice it, our world is filling up with data.

By the way, it would take 500 million two terabyte Barracuda LP drives to store a zettabyte of data.

Who can tell me what comes after a zettabyte? 

For extra credit, give me a reason to name an Era after it.

Code blue! Storage is an afterthought for healthcare

stethoscope1This report by SearchStorage reveals some unique dynamics in healthcare IT that are not healthy for the future of our collective digital healthcare records.  Technical decisions made primarily by non-technical doctors about software, with storage hardware diecisions made as an afterthought.

Healthcare IT folks, is this true where you work? 

This doesn’t sound good, not good at all.  Considering the incredible volumes of incredibly sensitive and important data these solutions will contain, storage needs a seat at the table up front as they are architected.

The saving grace could be the system integrators that are bridging the gap, making sure that the PACS software and the infrasctructure to support them will work well together over time.  Compliance demands are also helping to brace up this somewhat scary IT decision making process. 

Still, efficiency and cross-organization record compatibility could be compromised. 

Doctors, focus on your patients and empower your IT staff to keep your growing digital data happy and healthy.